Tuesday, August 31, 2010
What is Global Investing?
Don't put all your eggs in one basket, the principle of portfolio diversification, is widely accepted by investors. It is normally thought of in terms of the number of assets, industries or companies across which an investor is spread: a well-diversified portfolio contains equities (as well as bonds, cash, etc.) in industries whose returns do not move together. And the lower the correlation between the returns on the various equities or other assets, the less wildly the value of the whole portfolio should swing.
Less frequently is diversification considered in relation to owning equities and other assets from different countries. But with many national markets often highly uncorrelated, this form of diversification would seem to offer the strongest potential for reducing risk, while at the same time promising enhanced returns. Particularly for investors in one of the highly valued markets of the developed world, buying foreign equities uncorrelated with their domestic market should, in principle, make their overall equity portfolios less risky and more valuable.
So global investing is in the first instance about asset allocation between equities, bonds, cash and other instruments; and second, about investing in global markets. Asset allocators benefit by diversifying across asset classes; international investors benefit by diversifying their portfolio across assets in a range of different countries. The key factor for the latter is the degree of integration of the real economies of the countries concerned. It is important to understand co-movements among different markets: the more markets move together, the fewer the benefits of international diversification.
Global data for 1998 reveals significant performance differentials between regions. The MSCI World Index rose 19.7% but only two regions Europe at 26.5% and North America at 27.1% ex ceeded that. Across the emerging markets, performance ranged from a spectacular 137.5% gain in South Korea to an 83.2% decline for Russia (see Emerging Markets). Though somewhat narrower, differences in the developed world are just as striking: Finland gained 119.1% while Norway declined 31.2%. This large regional performance differential underscores the importance of a global portfolio strategy. An asset allocation strategy that on average correctly anticipated these differences would have added significant value.
Global investment provides a security hedge and a currency hedge. Frequently, investors do not separate the two (see Foreign Exchange). Nearly all academic studies suggest that the question of currency hedging should be dealt with explicitly and should not be treated as incorporated automatically within the overall global allocation. And it is important to recognize that currency hedging may be costly and can increase risk. The Asian meltdown in 1998, for example, led to the double whammy of currency devaluation and stock market collapse.
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